Ranting About the Climate Change Narrative

February 17, 2023
Leyendecker Executive Search

Welcome to This Week’s Leyendecker View

Friends are God’s life preservers.
A healthy person has a thousand wishes, but a sick person has only one.
– From an old high school friend with a serious health issue

THOUGHTS FROM DOUG

Don’t get me started on climate change…Okay, let’s wind me up…

If you listen to this week’s podcast interview of a very credible scientist, Dr. Judith Curry, you’ll wonder if the whole climate change movement isn’t just one giant mass psychosis. 

The misinformation and disinformation on climate change reminds me of the Covid experience.

It’s okay that private investors lost billions of dollars in domestic energy and are set to lose billions of dollars in technology investments. That’s how capitalism works.  

But if we’re about to lose billions of dollars chasing climate change, the latest mania, that’s money right out of the taxpayer’s pocket. Isn’t that how socialism works?

Is this another example of more taxpayer capital we’re about to destroy?

Don’t get me wrong, I’m all for cleaner and cheaper energy. Who doesn’t want a cleaner world? But how can an economy and prosperity grow if energy isn’t less expensive and/or much more economically efficient?

Ever lower wages and ever lower interest rates are no longer major economic drivers. Innovation is always an economic driver. But the economies with cheap, plentiful and efficient energy seem to have the economic advantage.

Europe does not have an energy economic advantage. Is that why they want to raise energy prices for everyone else?  

Politicians and the media love to use language like “humans are destroying the earth” or “we need to save the earth.” This language has real-world consequences. It’s becoming well known that mental health issues plague younger generations. Who can blame them? They were raised on a steady diet of climate alarmism. How can a person plan for a productive, fulfilled future if they’ve been led to believe there isn’t one? How can people feel optimistic when they’re constantly told we’re killing earth and believe the adults are failing them? 

Adults are failing them by repeating apocalyptic language—because it promotes blatantly false narratives as it simultaneously robs people of hope. Humans are not going to destroy the earth, nor are we going to save it. The earth—and its ever-changing climate—was around long before humans and will be around long after us.

Okay, enough of this climate rant already…Here’s one on the economy…

A “soft landing” suggests that interest rates could stay higher for longer. Why would the Fed need to cut rates until there’s an obvious need to stimulate the economy?

THE ECONOMIC VIEW

Small business sentiment improves
Slightly better view as inflation declines.
Big banks are thinking soft landing

New cars today
Are only for rich Americans

Retail sales rebound sharply
Are higher prices the cause?
Credit card debt nears $1T

THE INFLATION BOGEYMAN

CPI falls to 6.4%
Will it become sticky now?
How about some bigger Fed hikes?

Inflation will end soon
According to this op-ed.
It’s too late to fix low inflation
According to two prominent economists.

Inflation complexity
There is yet more ahead.

THE LABOR VIEW

Best US cities for remote work
Shhh…don’t tell your boss.

Factory jobs are coming back
But do young folks want them?

Wages are a mess
Degreed people are earning less.

MEANWHILE IN EUROPE

China massively subsidizes industry
The EU looks for a counter move.

Europe has spent about €800B
To avert an energy crisis.
Massive stimulus may prevent recession

Deindustrialization
May still be Germany’s future.

PLAYING WITH FIRE

EU talking more Russian export bans
An invasion anniversary “present” to Russia.

Russia is going all in.
97% of its army is in Ukraine
They’re amassing aircraft at border
Their tactics are almost ancient…and diabolical
But are they faltering?

Ukraine needs more ammo
Germany to produce more

Russia has attacked the US
With cyber weapons.

GLOBAL

The Eurasian Economic Union
Trade up 36+% in 2022
China likes it
Cuba wants in
South Africa, too

Global population will peak around 2060
Then decline by the end of the century.

THE FINANCE WORLD

Here comes more volatility
And volatility lowers valuations.

The junk loan market is fine
Say its investors and CEOs.

Private credit
Is all the rage

Hedge funds have killed it
Traders are going to get rich.

REAL ESTATE

Big investor defaults
On LA office towers.

Remote work
Costs NYC $12B a year

NY property tycoon gives up
He’s handing the keys to the banks.

TECHNOLOGY

The Microsoft-Google AI race
Any unintended consequences?

Apple’s manufacturing shift to India
Isn’t going so well

Global innovation index
Nice little video about the state of innovation.

A valuation reckoning is coming
For venture capital.

THE CHAT ON CHAT

Microsoft’s ChatGPT-powered Bing
Throws a tantrum
Confesses dark fantasies and falls in love
And aches to be human
Whoa.
What does its erratic personality mean for AI?
Can Microsoft rein in the “creepiness”?

What is ChatGPT, exactly?
Here’s what you need to know

AI stocks soar
On ChatGPT hype.

THE CRYPTO MEME

SEC is suing a crypto outfit
For selling securities.

Stablecoin founder
Is accused of securities fraud

The SEC is after crypto
Tulips are not securities.
Banks cut ties with crypto

THE NEXT NORMAL

Amazon is about to go BIG
On physical stores

Who are the good guys these days?
They’re the bad guys, of course

Infections better watch out
New tech is about to change the world of microbes.

THE WAR ON CARBON

Exxon retreats from their big biofuels effort
The Danish halt wind farm approvals
BP back peddles on renewables
Utilities take impairments on solar assets
Is rational thinking returning to energy?

Climate activists
Are suing individual Shell directors

The fight to define green hydrogen
Hey Washington, more free money please.

THE NEW ENERGY TRANSITION

Want to expand nuclear power?
Well, that road goes through Russia

Renewables are dominating
New utility-scale energy construction.
Solar to dominate in 2023
While solar jobs are declining

Investors plow into renewables
But projects are slow going.

FORD’S EV DREAM

Ford halts EV truck production
There’s a battery issue.

Ford teams up with the Chinese
To build a big battery factory in Michigan.

Ford to ax 3.8K European jobs
Building EVs requires fewer workers.

THE CHINA SYNDROME

China has a demographic problem
And now they’re cutting health benefits

Those flying objects were harmless
Oh really, you say?

China sanctions US companies
The spat deepens.

THE WASHING-TONE

Medicaid money
Can now be used to buy food

Understanding the debt ceiling
Good graphics tell this dramatic narrative.

We should change to a consumption tax
Great idea that’s never gonna happen.

MAKING A BETTER YOU

There’s more to life
Than just work-life balance.

Believing is seeing
Social media brainwashes us.

Living
Live life with a purpose.

HOW ABOUT A BREAK

Insect hearing is so amazing
It makes us humans seem neanderthal.

An asteroid worth 70K times the global economy
NASA has set off to explore it.

The uber rich
May not be as smart as ordinary people.

SONG OF THE WEEK

“Raindrop Keep Falling on my Head”
From Butch Cassidy & the Sundance Kid
BJ Thomas sings this Burt Bacharach (RIP) song.

CASTING AROUND THE PODS

The climate predictions are wrong
Jordan Peterson interviews Dr. Judith Curry.

VIDEOS OF THE WEEK

Ted Lasso is back!
Here’s the teaser

Up Helly Aa
Bring your torch.

The beauty of mechanized agriculture
Human ingenuity is amazing.

FROM THE HEADHUNTER’S KITCHEN

ChatGPT crafts cocktails
How’d it go?

The all-time most popular NYT recipe
Is old-fashioned beef stew

Chick-fil-A gives cauliflower a go
Market-testing a new sandwich.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

Is the Dollar About to Be Replaced?
February 10, 2023

Disneyland for Investors Is Over
February 3, 2023

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